Holiday Ecommerce Forecast – Expected Growth with a Chance of Record-High Discounts

by | Oct 28 | Blog, Insights

We’re on the cusp of the largest global shopping season of the year, with 2022 worldwide online holiday retail sales set to hit $5.5 trillion. This marks a notable increase in worldwide holiday ecommerce sales compared to the $4.92 trillion pulled in during the same time last year.

In 2021, the U.S. holiday shopping season alone reached the strongest retail growth in 20+ years. This was largely due to the brick-and-mortar comeback coupled with a surge in discretionary income enabled by the government stimulus, wage increases, and earlier holiday ecommerce sales and promotions.

Fast forward to 2022, the U.S. holiday ecommerce season is shaping up to be one fueled by growth. Holiday ecommerce is projected to rise 15.5% and grow to $235 billion in estimated sales compared to $204 billion in 2021.

 

What’s driving the promising 2022 holiday ecommerce projections?

Abundance of discounts

In a strategic effort to offload inventory, 2022 is set to reach record highs when it comes to the holiday discounts offered. Shoppers can expect to see discounts exceed 32 percent. This is a stark contrast from 2021, where supply chain backlogs and increasing costs left consumers with a scarcity of discount codes that fell below the 10 to 30 percent average.

Longer shopping season

As inflation continues to rise in the United States, price-conscious consumers are getting a head start on their holiday shopping to avoid greater price increases. Worldwide, 42 percent more shoppers are even starting their shopping earlier than normal. Retail giants are listening. Companies like Amazon kicked off their annual Prime Day in July and even surprised consumers with a second sales event in October, the Amazon Prime Early Access Sale. To elongate the shopping season and encourage greater consumer spend, other retailers have followed suit by launching their own Q3 and Q4 sales events.

Explore the infographic below to learn about the market size, retail sales projections, consumer behavior, and brand strategies that will define this year’s holiday ecommerce season.

 

[2022SS]

 

 

Author

Rocco Sarich

Rocco Sarich

Related Articles

CAKE at Affiliate Summit West 2026
Mar 16 2026

Building Better Connections at Affiliate Summit West 2026

Connection was the word of the week at ASW26, and a constant theme...
new advertisers
Feb 18 2026

5 Best Practices for Onboarding New Advertisers

Onboarding is a critical step in establishing a long-term...
2025 Year in review - CAKE Product Updates
Dec 09 2025

Year in Review: 2025 Product Updates

As we wrap up the year, we want to take a moment to thank our...
Affiliate Referral Program
Nov 27 2025

Turbocharge Revenue and Partnerships With an Affiliate Referral Program

Discover how to boost revenue and partnerships with an affiliate...
Batch Processing
Nov 06 2025

Streamline Link Generation and Data Cleanup with New Batch Actions in CAKE

New in CAKE: Two bulk actions, Batch Link Generation and Batch Data...
Garth Harris at the Sip & Send happy hour at ASE 2025, hosted by CAKE and TUNE
Oct 21 2025

Affiliate Summit in 2025: A Recap and Look Ahead

Garth Harris provides his first write-up of an Affiliate Summit...
Email Marketing - Why It Belongs in Your Affiliate Program
Sep 24 2025

7 Reasons Email Marketing Rocks for Affiliate Programs

Email marketing is a fundamental part of strategic affiliate...
clickless-tracking-voucher-codes
Sep 22 2025

Using CAKE’s Voucher Codes for Clickless Tracking

As an affiliate marketer, the best way to accurately measure...
Saas customer support
Aug 14 2025

Experience Excellence With CAKE’s Top-Tier SaaS Customer Success

Have you ever encountered an issue with a tech provider or software...
Better Together: CAKE and TUNE Align Under One Unified Affiliate Marketing Vision
Jul 29 2025

Better Together: CAKE and TUNE Align Under One Unified Affiliate Marketing Vision

CAKE and TUNE, the most trusted platforms in the industry, have come...